29.9% average title probability
Europe Europa League race map
Europe Europa League Season Predictor 2026-2027
A standalone race page built off the site’s simulation engine. It surfaces title pressure, top 4 probability, relegation danger, model disagreement and the remaining fixtures carrying the most heat.
23.5% average title probability
36.1% average relegation risk
Gap score 90.0 between the two models
Race Storylines
Quick reads on how open the biggest season battles still are.
Teams with at least a 10% average title chance across the goal and form models.
These sides sit in the messy middle where a strong finish still materially changes the season outcome.
Average relegation probability between 15% and 85%, which is usually where the stress lives.
Title Race
The clubs with the strongest path to first place right now.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Exp Pts | Avg Title | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2 | 9 | 19.8 | 29.9% | 23.7% | 36.1% |
| Bournemouth | 3 | 9 | 19.8 | 23.5% | 23.8% | 23.1% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 9 | 18.9 | 16.1% | 18.4% | 13.8% |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 9 | 19.1 | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.9% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 5 | 9 | 18.5 | 8.3% | 6.4% | 10.2% |
| Union St. Gilloise | 6 | 7 | 16.5 | 3.9% | 7.1% | 0.7% |
Top 4 Battle
Who still has a realistic route into the high-value positions.
| Team | Pos | Avg Finish | Avg Top 4 | Avg Title | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2 | 1.0 | 74.5% | 29.9% | +1.5 |
| Bournemouth | 3 | 1.0 | 73.0% | 23.5% | +1.2 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1.5 | 60.4% | 16.1% | +0.6 |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 2.0 | 60.3% | 14.2% | +1.5 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 5 | 3.5 | 47.8% | 8.3% | +2.4 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 6 | 5.5 | 27.1% | 3.9% | -0.9 |
| Sunderland | 9 | 7.0 | 16.7% | 1.2% | +2.5 |
| Beşiktaş | 8 | 7.0 | 13.6% | 1.4% | +0.2 |
Relegation Watch
The most exposed clubs if the rest of the season follows the current signal.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Avg Finish | Avg Bottom Finish | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan | 32 | 1 | 35.5 | 36.1% | 38.8% | 33.4% |
| Celtic | 35 | 0 | 36.0 | 30.6% | 27.2% | 34.0% |
| Plzen | 34 | 0 | 36.0 | 28.2% | 24.5% | 31.9% |
| Ararat-Armenia | 36 | 0 | 36.0 | 26.7% | 23.9% | 29.5% |
| Marseille | 33 | 0 | 36.0 | 24.8% | 25.7% | 23.8% |
| Lillestrom | 31 | 1 | 33.0 | 16.7% | 16.9% | 16.4% |
Model Disagreement
The sides where underlying goal strength and current points-form tell the most different story.
| Team | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg | 27 | 18 | 9.5 | 11.3 | 90.0 |
| Real Sociedad | 11 | 17 | 11.8 | 10.7 | 60.0 |
| Lyon | 15 | 10 | 11.9 | 14.0 | 50.0 |
| Levski Sofia | 18 | 13 | 11.0 | 11.8 | 50.0 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 22 | 27 | 9.2 | 7.6 | 50.0 |
| AC Milan | 22 | 27 | 9.2 | 8.1 | 50.0 |
High-Leverage Fixtures
The race-heat score highlights the remaining fixtures most likely to shape the season. It combines each club’s biggest live stake, such as the title race, top 4 push or relegation danger, with how open the match still looks in the two models. Higher scores point to games where the result could change the league picture more sharply than an ordinary fixture.
| Match | Date | Race Heat | Home | Draw | Away | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica vs Lech Poznan | 05 Nov 2026 | 121.9 | 74.8% | 17.1% | 8.2% | Benfica: Top 4 74.5% | Lech Poznan: Bottom Finish 36.1% |
| Plzen vs Benfica | 26 Nov 2026 | 115.2 | 9.4% | 18.5% | 72.2% | Plzen: Bottom Finish 28.2% | Benfica: Top 4 74.5% |
| Bournemouth vs Plzen | 10 Dec 2026 | 113.6 | 72.5% | 18.5% | 9.2% | Bournemouth: Top 4 73.0% | Plzen: Bottom Finish 28.2% |
| Lech Poznan vs Ferencvarosi TC | 10 Dec 2026 | 111.2 | 12.9% | 19.9% | 67.2% | Lech Poznan: Bottom Finish 36.1% | Ferencvarosi TC: Top 4 60.3% |
| Lillestrom vs Bournemouth | 21 Jan 2027 | 103.2 | 11.2% | 19.0% | 69.9% | Lillestrom: Bottom Finish 16.7% | Bournemouth: Top 4 73.0% |
| Benfica vs AZ Alkmaar | 28 Jan 2027 | 101.1 | 52.5% | 23.1% | 24.5% | Benfica: Top 4 74.5% | AZ Alkmaar: Projection 0.0% |
| Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva | 28 Jan 2027 | 99.5 | 76.8% | 16.7% | 6.5% | Bournemouth: Top 4 73.0% | Hapoel Beer Sheva: Bottom Finish 16.1% |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille | 05 Nov 2026 | 98.0 | 71.5% | 19.1% | 9.4% | Bayer Leverkusen: Top 4 60.4% | Marseille: Bottom Finish 24.8% |
Full Simulation Tables
The full two-model output, including projected points and fixture-level win probabilities.
This tab shows two Monte Carlo models for Europa League. The first is the goal-strength model, which estimates each match from how strongly teams have scored and conceded goals so far. The second is a points-form model built from points per game, home and away splits, and recent form, so it leans more on results momentum than raw goal output. Both simulate the remaining fixture list 50,000 times.
Simulations
50,000
Remaining Fixtures
90
Goal Model Base
1.5 / 1.57
Form Model Base
1.42 PPG
Model Comparison
| # | Team | Current Pts | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Title | Form Title | Goal Top 4 | Form Top 4 | Goal Bottom Finish (35-36) | Form Bottom Finish (35-36) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 18.6 | 19.2 | 1 | 2 | 18.4% | 13.8% | 61.3% | 59.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 19.0 | 20.5 | 1 | 1 | 23.7% | 36.1% | 68.3% | 80.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 9 | 19.2 | 20.4 | 1 | 1 | 23.8% | 23.1% | 69.4% | 76.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 9 | 18.3 | 19.8 | 2 | 2 | 14.5% | 13.9% | 55.3% | 65.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 9 | 17.3 | 19.7 | 4 | 3 | 6.4% | 10.2% | 36.8% | 58.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 7 | 16.9 | 16.0 | 4 | 7 | 7.1% | 0.7% | 40.4% | 13.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 7 | Juventus | 7 | 14.3 | 14.6 | 7 | 8 | 1.4% | 0.3% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 15.2 | 15.4 | 6 | 8 | 2.3% | 0.5% | 18.2% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 9 | Sunderland | 7 | 14.8 | 17.3 | 8 | 6 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 11.5% | 21.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 13.6 | 13.9 | 8 | 9 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 13.3 | 13.4 | 9 | 10 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12 | Lyon | 6 | 11.9 | 14.0 | 15 | 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Rennes | 5 | 11.8 | 12.2 | 16 | 15 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 11.8 | 10.7 | 11 | 17 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 12.1 | 11.8 | 12 | 12 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 10.8 | 10.0 | 18 | 19 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 11.0 | 11.8 | 18 | 13 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 10.0 | 8.6 | 25 | 25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 10.1 | 10.7 | 19 | 19 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 10.4 | 11.0 | 20 | 18 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 9.5 | 11.3 | 27 | 18 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 10.2 | 9.5 | 20 | 20 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 9.2 | 7.6 | 22 | 27 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 9.2 | 8.1 | 22 | 27 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 9.3 | 9.2 | 23 | 21 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 21 | 22 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 9.9 | 9.0 | 22 | 23 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 23 | 21 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| 29 | Celje | 1 | 6.8 | 4.7 | 33 | 34 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 17.3% |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 35 | 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.8% | 11.4% |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 1 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 34 | 32 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.9% | 16.4% |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 36 | 35 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38.8% | 33.4% |
| 33 | Marseille | 0 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 36 | 36 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.7% | 23.8% |
| 34 | Plzen | 0 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 36 | 36 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 24.5% | 31.9% |
| 35 | Celtic | 0 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 36 | 36 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.2% | 34.0% |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 0 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 36 | 36 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.9% | 29.5% |
Goal-Strength Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Proj G H | Proj G A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC | 21.7% | 21.3% | 57.0% | 1.17 | 2.02 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg | 34.7% | 25.0% | 40.3% | 1.36 | 1.49 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim | 56.7% | 21.1% | 22.2% | 2.06 | 1.22 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia | 37.0% | 25.9% | 37.1% | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Lillestrom vs Plzen | 24.6% | 21.5% | 53.9% | 1.31 | 2.02 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia | 25.7% | 22.8% | 51.5% | 1.24 | 1.84 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Real Sociedad vs Lyon | 44.2% | 23.2% | 32.5% | 1.73 | 1.46 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus | 33.3% | 26.6% | 40.1% | 1.20 | 1.35 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth | 29.8% | 24.5% | 45.7% | 1.25 | 1.61 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus | 35.5% | 23.9% | 40.6% | 1.48 | 1.60 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille | 62.9% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 2.00 | 0.90 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Benfica vs Lech Poznan | 71.4% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 2.69 | 1.09 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise | 20.6% | 21.9% | 57.4% | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Celtic vs Beşiktaş | 21.5% | 19.0% | 59.5% | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI | 34.2% | 27.0% | 38.9% | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Sturm Graz vs Celje | 43.9% | 28.6% | 27.6% | 1.27 | 0.94 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb | 39.6% | 28.6% | 31.8% | 1.21 | 1.05 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia | 44.9% | 22.6% | 32.6% | 1.82 | 1.53 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Beşiktaş vs Hapoel Beer Sheva | 65.7% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 2.49 | 1.20 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth | 25.2% | 23.1% | 51.7% | 1.19 | 1.80 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen | 16.2% | 20.1% | 63.7% | 0.96 | 2.11 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Marseille vs Levski Sofia | 26.6% | 26.1% | 47.3% | 1.04 | 1.48 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan | 42.8% | 25.4% | 31.8% | 1.49 | 1.25 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Plzen vs Benfica | 12.1% | 16.6% | 71.3% | 0.93 | 2.49 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan | 70.7% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 2.45 | 0.93 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Red Bull Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia | 36.1% | 22.9% | 41.0% | 1.61 | 1.72 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad | 33.2% | 22.2% | 44.6% | 1.59 | 1.87 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje | 62.0% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 2.20 | 1.11 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz | 52.8% | 22.5% | 24.7% | 1.89 | 1.23 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia | 43.5% | 22.7% | 33.8% | 1.79 | 1.56 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Lyon vs Lillestrom | 45.6% | 22.6% | 31.7% | 1.83 | 1.49 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes | 32.9% | 25.3% | 41.8% | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | OFI vs Anderlecht | 29.3% | 26.8% | 43.9% | 1.08 | 1.39 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar | 27.8% | 25.1% | 47.2% | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Sunderland vs Jagiellonia | 45.0% | 25.3% | 29.6% | 1.52 | 1.19 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Torreense vs Celtic | 45.1% | 22.2% | 32.7% | 1.87 | 1.57 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Anderlecht vs 1899 Hoffenheim | 40.0% | 24.9% | 35.1% | 1.49 | 1.38 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Ararat-Armenia vs NEC Nijmegen | 24.2% | 18.7% | 57.1% | 1.63 | 2.52 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz | 53.2% | 23.5% | 23.3% | 1.76 | 1.09 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Juventus | 24.9% | 24.6% | 50.5% | 1.07 | 1.63 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace | 33.9% | 21.5% | 44.6% | 1.70 | 1.97 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Marseille vs Celta Vigo | 29.2% | 27.0% | 43.8% | 1.07 | 1.37 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Omonia Nicosia vs Celtic | 46.5% | 22.4% | 31.1% | 1.87 | 1.50 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Rennes vs Dinamo Zagreb | 39.6% | 26.9% | 33.5% | 1.32 | 1.19 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | AC Milan vs Sunderland | 26.2% | 24.9% | 48.9% | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Beşiktaş | 45.4% | 22.9% | 31.6% | 1.78 | 1.46 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Benfica vs OFI | 56.1% | 21.0% | 22.9% | 2.09 | 1.27 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Bournemouth vs Plzen | 64.6% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 2.16 | 0.97 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Celje vs Olympiakos Piraeus | 21.6% | 23.5% | 54.9% | 1.01 | 1.75 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Lech Poznan vs Ferencvarosi TC | 15.0% | 17.9% | 67.1% | 1.05 | 2.40 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom | 38.1% | 26.4% | 35.5% | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Lyon vs Union St. Gilloise | 25.0% | 21.5% | 53.6% | 1.33 | 2.03 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Real Sociedad vs Torreense | 46.3% | 22.3% | 31.5% | 1.88 | 1.53 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Red Bull Salzburg vs Sparta Praha | 19.5% | 20.7% | 59.8% | 1.10 | 2.08 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Ararat-Armenia vs Celje | 26.4% | 22.4% | 51.1% | 1.31 | 1.89 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Beşiktaş vs Union St. Gilloise | 31.9% | 22.2% | 46.0% | 1.55 | 1.89 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Ferencvarosi TC vs Juventus | 43.7% | 22.4% | 33.9% | 1.82 | 1.59 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Jagiellonia vs Lyon | 39.1% | 23.3% | 37.7% | 1.64 | 1.60 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Lillestrom vs Bournemouth | 13.1% | 16.6% | 70.3% | 1.02 | 2.55 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica | 19.1% | 20.0% | 60.9% | 1.14 | 2.18 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Olympiakos Piraeus vs 1899 Hoffenheim | 48.9% | 25.4% | 25.7% | 1.56 | 1.05 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Real Sociedad vs Plzen | 45.6% | 23.4% | 31.0% | 1.73 | 1.39 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Sturm Graz vs OFI | 38.4% | 28.7% | 32.8% | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Anderlecht vs Sunderland | 30.3% | 25.2% | 44.4% | 1.22 | 1.53 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb | 42.0% | 26.6% | 31.4% | 1.38 | 1.16 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg | 49.1% | 24.6% | 26.3% | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Celtic vs Marseille | 39.9% | 24.0% | 36.1% | 1.57 | 1.48 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha | 43.8% | 23.2% | 33.0% | 1.73 | 1.48 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo | 31.3% | 28.1% | 40.6% | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Lech Poznan vs Torreense | 28.0% | 22.3% | 49.7% | 1.38 | 1.90 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Levski Sofia vs AC Milan | 31.8% | 25.3% | 42.8% | 1.26 | 1.50 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Rennes vs Omonia Nicosia | 31.2% | 24.3% | 44.5% | 1.32 | 1.62 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia | 42.4% | 23.7% | 33.9% | 1.66 | 1.46 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Benfica vs AZ Alkmaar | 39.8% | 23.7% | 36.5% | 1.60 | 1.53 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva | 72.9% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 2.45 | 0.83 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Celje vs NEC Nijmegen | 35.0% | 21.3% | 43.7% | 1.78 | 2.00 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom | 38.6% | 24.8% | 36.6% | 1.47 | 1.42 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Sturm Graz | 44.1% | 24.8% | 31.1% | 1.57 | 1.28 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | 1899 Hoffenheim vs Ferencvarosi TC | 32.0% | 21.9% | 46.1% | 1.59 | 1.93 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Juventus vs Real Sociedad | 35.8% | 21.9% | 42.3% | 1.71 | 1.87 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen | 19.2% | 20.2% | 60.6% | 1.14 | 2.16 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Marseille vs Anderlecht | 23.7% | 25.9% | 50.4% | 0.95 | 1.51 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | OFI vs Lech Poznan | 52.7% | 23.4% | 23.8% | 1.77 | 1.11 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Omonia Nicosia vs Beşiktaş | 28.3% | 21.5% | 50.1% | 1.48 | 2.02 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Plzen vs Jagiellonia | 28.0% | 23.4% | 48.6% | 1.28 | 1.75 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Union St. Gilloise vs Celtic | 67.2% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 2.45 | 1.09 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Red Bull Salzburg vs Crystal Palace | 24.4% | 20.2% | 55.4% | 1.44 | 2.23 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Sparta Praha vs Rennes | 36.4% | 26.5% | 37.1% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Sunderland vs Levski Sofia | 37.6% | 27.3% | 35.1% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Torreense vs Olympiakos Piraeus | 25.9% | 24.8% | 49.4% | 1.10 | 1.62 |
Points-Form Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Home Form | Away Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC | 15.3% | 23.1% | 61.6% | 0.83 | 1.39 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg | 33.8% | 26.6% | 39.7% | 0.83 | 1.05 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim | 64.6% | 22.5% | 12.9% | 1.10 | 0.83 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia | 52.9% | 24.6% | 22.5% | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Lillestrom vs Plzen | 47.8% | 25.4% | 26.8% | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia | 31.6% | 26.2% | 42.2% | 0.96 | 1.22 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Real Sociedad vs Lyon | 33.6% | 26.5% | 39.9% | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus | 33.0% | 26.4% | 40.6% | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth | 21.5% | 24.4% | 54.1% | 0.96 | 1.39 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus | 45.0% | 25.8% | 29.2% | 1.22 | 1.28 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille | 80.1% | 17.3% | 2.5% | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Benfica vs Lech Poznan | 78.2% | 18.3% | 3.5% | 1.39 | 0.71 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise | 20.9% | 24.3% | 54.8% | 0.83 | 1.28 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Celtic vs Beşiktaş | 11.6% | 22.1% | 66.3% | 0.61 | 1.28 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI | 45.7% | 25.7% | 28.6% | 0.78 | 0.83 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Sturm Graz vs Celje | 67.8% | 21.8% | 10.4% | 1.05 | 0.71 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb | 66.8% | 22.0% | 11.2% | 1.28 | 0.96 |
| 05 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 4 | Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia | 58.8% | 23.6% | 17.5% | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Beşiktaş vs Hapoel Beer Sheva | 75.6% | 19.4% | 5.0% | 1.23 | 0.65 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth | 15.3% | 23.1% | 61.6% | 0.83 | 1.39 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen | 20.1% | 24.1% | 55.8% | 0.99 | 1.46 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Marseille vs Levski Sofia | 24.4% | 25.0% | 50.6% | 0.67 | 1.05 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan | 74.1% | 19.9% | 6.0% | 1.46 | 0.93 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Plzen vs Benfica | 6.6% | 20.3% | 73.1% | 0.61 | 1.46 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan | 74.0% | 20.0% | 6.0% | 1.23 | 0.71 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Red Bull Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia | 62.0% | 23.0% | 15.0% | 0.89 | 0.67 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad | 52.1% | 24.7% | 23.2% | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje | 79.5% | 17.7% | 2.8% | 1.46 | 0.71 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz | 52.3% | 24.7% | 23.0% | 0.93 | 0.89 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia | 49.9% | 25.1% | 25.0% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Lyon vs Lillestrom | 71.4% | 20.8% | 7.8% | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes | 46.1% | 25.6% | 28.2% | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | OFI vs Anderlecht | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar | 38.1% | 26.8% | 35.2% | 0.96 | 1.11 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Sunderland vs Jagiellonia | 71.7% | 20.7% | 7.6% | 1.28 | 0.83 |
| 26 Nov 2026 | League Stage - 5 | Torreense vs Celtic | 58.8% | 23.6% | 17.5% | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Anderlecht vs 1899 Hoffenheim | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Ararat-Armenia vs NEC Nijmegen | 24.3% | 24.9% | 50.8% | 0.61 | 0.99 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz | 67.3% | 21.9% | 10.8% | 1.22 | 0.89 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Juventus | 18.5% | 23.8% | 57.7% | 0.78 | 1.28 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace | 52.4% | 24.7% | 22.9% | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Marseille vs Celta Vigo | 31.2% | 26.1% | 42.7% | 0.67 | 0.93 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Omonia Nicosia vs Celtic | 71.6% | 20.7% | 7.6% | 1.11 | 0.67 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Rennes vs Dinamo Zagreb | 61.1% | 23.2% | 15.7% | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | AC Milan vs Sunderland | 23.3% | 24.8% | 51.9% | 0.83 | 1.23 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Beşiktaş | 56.6% | 24.0% | 19.4% | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Benfica vs OFI | 75.3% | 19.5% | 5.2% | 1.39 | 0.83 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Bournemouth vs Plzen | 80.3% | 17.3% | 2.5% | 1.46 | 0.67 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Celje vs Olympiakos Piraeus | 10.8% | 21.9% | 67.3% | 0.70 | 1.39 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Lech Poznan vs Ferencvarosi TC | 10.8% | 21.9% | 67.3% | 0.70 | 1.39 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom | 55.9% | 24.1% | 20.0% | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Lyon vs Union St. Gilloise | 45.0% | 25.8% | 29.2% | 1.22 | 1.28 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Real Sociedad vs Torreense | 45.6% | 25.7% | 28.7% | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| 10 Dec 2026 | League Stage - 6 | Red Bull Salzburg vs Sparta Praha | 41.5% | 26.3% | 32.2% | 0.89 | 0.99 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Ararat-Armenia vs Celje | 42.3% | 26.2% | 31.5% | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Beşiktaş vs Union St. Gilloise | 45.9% | 25.7% | 28.5% | 1.23 | 1.28 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Ferencvarosi TC vs Juventus | 60.2% | 23.4% | 16.4% | 1.46 | 1.28 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Jagiellonia vs Lyon | 36.6% | 27.0% | 36.4% | 0.93 | 1.11 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Lillestrom vs Bournemouth | 9.2% | 21.3% | 69.5% | 0.65 | 1.39 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica | 18.2% | 23.8% | 58.0% | 0.96 | 1.46 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Olympiakos Piraeus vs 1899 Hoffenheim | 77.0% | 18.9% | 4.2% | 1.46 | 0.83 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Real Sociedad vs Plzen | 62.0% | 23.0% | 15.0% | 0.89 | 0.67 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Sturm Graz vs OFI | 62.4% | 23.0% | 14.7% | 1.05 | 0.83 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Anderlecht vs Sunderland | 23.3% | 24.8% | 51.9% | 0.83 | 1.23 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb | 64.1% | 22.6% | 13.3% | 1.22 | 0.96 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg | 67.8% | 21.8% | 10.4% | 1.39 | 1.05 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Celtic vs Marseille | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha | 55.6% | 24.2% | 20.3% | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo | 38.1% | 26.8% | 35.2% | 0.78 | 0.93 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Lech Poznan vs Torreense | 33.4% | 26.5% | 40.1% | 0.70 | 0.93 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Levski Sofia vs AC Milan | 45.6% | 25.7% | 28.7% | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| 21 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 7 | Rennes vs Omonia Nicosia | 45.0% | 25.8% | 29.2% | 1.16 | 1.22 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia | 58.8% | 23.6% | 17.5% | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Benfica vs AZ Alkmaar | 65.1% | 22.4% | 12.5% | 1.39 | 1.11 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva | 80.6% | 17.1% | 2.3% | 1.46 | 0.65 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Celje vs NEC Nijmegen | 29.8% | 25.9% | 44.3% | 0.70 | 0.99 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom | 52.2% | 24.7% | 23.1% | 0.83 | 0.78 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Sturm Graz | 56.0% | 24.1% | 19.9% | 0.99 | 0.89 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | 1899 Hoffenheim vs Ferencvarosi TC | 20.4% | 24.2% | 55.4% | 0.93 | 1.39 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Juventus vs Real Sociedad | 59.9% | 23.4% | 16.6% | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen | 32.6% | 26.4% | 41.0% | 1.22 | 1.46 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Marseille vs Anderlecht | 31.2% | 26.1% | 42.7% | 0.67 | 0.93 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | OFI vs Lech Poznan | 62.5% | 22.9% | 14.5% | 0.93 | 0.71 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Omonia Nicosia vs Beşiktaş | 37.8% | 26.8% | 35.4% | 1.11 | 1.28 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Plzen vs Jagiellonia | 34.3% | 26.6% | 39.1% | 0.61 | 0.83 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Union St. Gilloise vs Celtic | 75.1% | 19.6% | 5.3% | 1.23 | 0.67 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Red Bull Salzburg vs Crystal Palace | 49.2% | 25.2% | 25.6% | 0.89 | 0.88 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Sparta Praha vs Rennes | 46.1% | 25.6% | 28.2% | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Sunderland vs Levski Sofia | 62.4% | 22.9% | 14.7% | 1.28 | 1.05 |
| 28 Jan 2027 | League Stage - 8 | Torreense vs Olympiakos Piraeus | 15.3% | 23.1% | 61.6% | 0.83 | 1.39 |