39.1% average title probability
Scotland Championship race map
Scotland Championship Season Predictor 2026-2027
A standalone race page built off the site’s simulation engine. It surfaces title pressure, top 4 probability, relegation danger, model disagreement and the remaining fixtures carrying the most heat.
30.3% average title probability
91.3% average relegation risk
Gap score 30.9 between the two models
Race Storylines
Quick reads on how open the biggest season battles still are.
Teams with at least a 10% average title chance across the goal and form models.
These sides sit in the messy middle where a strong finish still materially changes the season outcome.
Average relegation probability between 15% and 85%, which is usually where the stress lives.
Title Race
The clubs with the strongest path to first place right now.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Exp Pts | Avg Title | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partick | 1 | 25 | 66.7 | 39.1% | 35.8% | 42.3% |
| Raith Rovers | 2 | 24 | 65.1 | 30.3% | 34.4% | 26.1% |
| Dunfermline | 3 | 24 | 64.7 | 24.9% | 20.7% | 29.0% |
| Livingston | 5 | 20 | 55.3 | 3.2% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Stenhousemuir | 4 | 23 | 55.8 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Inverness CT | 6 | 19 | 53.3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
Top 4 Battle
Who still has a realistic route into the high-value positions.
| Team | Pos | Avg Finish | Avg Top 4 | Avg Title | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partick | 1 | 1.0 | 95.5% | 39.1% | +3.1 |
| Raith Rovers | 2 | 1.5 | 92.9% | 30.3% | +0.9 |
| Dunfermline | 3 | 2.0 | 91.6% | 24.9% | +4.0 |
| Livingston | 5 | 5.0 | 44.4% | 3.2% | -4.3 |
| Stenhousemuir | 4 | 5.0 | 43.1% | 2.0% | +0.6 |
| Inverness CT | 6 | 5.5 | 29.0% | 0.7% | +2.5 |
| Ayr Utd | 7 | 7.0 | 3.7% | 0.1% | -2.0 |
| Morton | 9 | 8.0 | 0.1% | 0.0% | +0.1 |
Relegation Watch
The most exposed clubs if the rest of the season follows the current signal.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Avg Finish | Avg Bottom Finish | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's Park | 10 | 7 | 10.0 | 91.3% | 88.1% | 94.5% |
| Arbroath | 8 | 11 | 9.0 | 73.6% | 76.4% | 70.7% |
| Morton | 9 | 10 | 8.0 | 32.7% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| Ayr Utd | 7 | 15 | 7.0 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| Inverness CT | 6 | 19 | 5.5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Livingston | 5 | 20 | 5.0 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Model Disagreement
The sides where underlying goal strength and current points-form tell the most different story.
| Team | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston | 4 | 6 | 57.4 | 53.1 | 30.9 |
| Dunfermline | 2 | 2 | 62.7 | 66.7 | 20.0 |
| Partick | 1 | 1 | 65.1 | 68.2 | 15.5 |
| Inverness CT | 6 | 5 | 52.0 | 54.5 | 13.8 |
| Queen's Park | 10 | 10 | 26.7 | 24.6 | 10.5 |
| Raith Rovers | 1 | 2 | 64.6 | 65.5 | 10.0 |
High-Leverage Fixtures
The race-heat score highlights the remaining fixtures most likely to shape the season. It combines each club’s biggest live stake, such as the title race, top 4 push or relegation danger, with how open the match still looks in the two models. Higher scores point to games where the result could change the league picture more sharply than an ordinary fixture.
| Match | Date | Race Heat | Home | Draw | Away | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raith Rovers vs Partick | 21 Nov 2026 | 214.8 | 41.3% | 28.8% | 30.0% | Raith Rovers: Top 4 92.9% | Partick: Top 4 95.5% |
| Raith Rovers vs Partick | 27 Mar 2027 | 214.8 | 41.3% | 28.8% | 30.0% | Raith Rovers: Top 4 92.9% | Partick: Top 4 95.5% |
| Partick vs Raith Rovers | 13 Feb 2027 | 213.4 | 44.5% | 28.6% | 26.9% | Partick: Top 4 95.5% | Raith Rovers: Top 4 92.9% |
| Dunfermline vs Partick | 20 Feb 2027 | 211.4 | 45.9% | 29.3% | 24.9% | Dunfermline: Top 4 91.6% | Partick: Top 4 95.5% |
| Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline | 06 Nov 2026 | 210.7 | 41.8% | 29.8% | 28.5% | Raith Rovers: Top 4 92.9% | Dunfermline: Top 4 91.6% |
| Partick vs Dunfermline | 05 Dec 2026 | 210.7 | 47.6% | 30.2% | 22.2% | Partick: Top 4 95.5% | Dunfermline: Top 4 91.6% |
| Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline | 20 Mar 2027 | 210.7 | 41.8% | 29.8% | 28.5% | Raith Rovers: Top 4 92.9% | Dunfermline: Top 4 91.6% |
| Partick vs Dunfermline | 24 Apr 2027 | 210.7 | 47.6% | 30.2% | 22.2% | Partick: Top 4 95.5% | Dunfermline: Top 4 91.6% |
Full Simulation Tables
The full two-model output, including projected points and fixture-level win probabilities.
This tab shows two Monte Carlo models for Championship. The first is the goal-strength model, which estimates each match from how strongly teams have scored and conceded goals so far. The second is a points-form model built from points per game, home and away splits, and recent form, so it leans more on results momentum than raw goal output. Both simulate the remaining fixture list 50,000 times.
Simulations
50,000
Remaining Fixtures
116
Goal Model Base
1.2 / 0.98
Form Model Base
1.39 PPG
Model Comparison
| # | Team | Current Pts | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Title | Form Title | Goal Top 4 | Form Top 4 | Goal Bottom Finish (9-10) | Form Bottom Finish (9-10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 25 | 65.1 | 68.2 | 1 | 1 | 35.8% | 42.3% | 93.3% | 97.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 24 | 64.6 | 65.5 | 1 | 2 | 34.4% | 26.1% | 91.9% | 93.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 24 | 62.7 | 66.7 | 2 | 2 | 20.7% | 29.0% | 87.0% | 96.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 23 | 55.5 | 56.1 | 5 | 5 | 2.6% | 1.3% | 40.9% | 45.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | Livingston | 20 | 57.4 | 53.1 | 4 | 6 | 5.8% | 0.6% | 59.8% | 28.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 19 | 52.0 | 54.5 | 6 | 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 22.1% | 35.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 15 | 45.9 | 43.9 | 7 | 7 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | 29.9 | 30.9 | 9 | 9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 76.4% | 70.7% |
| 9 | Morton | 10 | 34.6 | 34.7 | 8 | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 7 | 26.7 | 24.6 | 10 | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 88.1% | 94.5% |
Goal-Strength Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Proj G H | Proj G A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Morton vs Ayr Utd | 27.0% | 27.3% | 45.8% | 0.99 | 1.38 |
| 06 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline | 38.6% | 33.8% | 27.7% | 0.95 | 0.75 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Arbroath vs Ayr Utd | 25.8% | 29.0% | 45.2% | 0.87 | 1.25 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Inverness CT vs Livingston | 32.4% | 30.7% | 36.8% | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Morton vs Stenhousemuir | 27.3% | 28.7% | 44.0% | 0.93 | 1.26 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Queen's Park vs Partick | 17.7% | 27.8% | 54.5% | 0.66 | 1.38 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers | 20.3% | 26.0% | 53.7% | 0.82 | 1.51 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Dunfermline vs Arbroath | 75.2% | 18.3% | 6.4% | 1.97 | 0.40 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Livingston vs Morton | 53.4% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 1.67 | 0.99 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Partick vs Inverness CT | 60.9% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 1.77 | 0.78 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park | 61.1% | 25.1% | 13.9% | 1.56 | 0.59 |
| 20 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd | 44.4% | 30.0% | 25.6% | 1.19 | 0.83 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir | 26.0% | 30.6% | 43.4% | 0.82 | 1.15 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Dunfermline vs Morton | 63.0% | 22.6% | 14.4% | 1.78 | 0.71 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Queen's Park vs Livingston | 15.9% | 24.0% | 60.1% | 0.72 | 1.67 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Raith Rovers vs Partick | 37.5% | 31.8% | 30.7% | 1.01 | 0.88 |
| 04 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Livingston vs Raith Rovers | 26.9% | 28.8% | 44.3% | 0.91 | 1.26 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Morton vs Inverness CT | 29.5% | 23.8% | 46.7% | 1.30 | 1.69 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Partick vs Dunfermline | 42.7% | 35.7% | 21.6% | 0.93 | 0.57 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Queen's Park vs Arbroath | 49.4% | 28.6% | 21.9% | 1.31 | 0.77 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Stenhousemuir vs Ayr Utd | 40.0% | 30.6% | 29.4% | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| 11 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Arbroath vs Partick | 18.2% | 28.8% | 53.0% | 0.64 | 1.32 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Ayr Utd vs Livingston | 24.0% | 26.9% | 49.1% | 0.91 | 1.43 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Dunfermline vs Stenhousemuir | 51.8% | 29.8% | 18.4% | 1.26 | 0.62 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Inverness CT vs Queen's Park | 65.4% | 23.1% | 11.5% | 1.69 | 0.55 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Raith Rovers vs Morton | 59.7% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 1.83 | 0.88 |
| 18 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Queen's Park vs Raith Rovers | 13.1% | 22.5% | 64.4% | 0.65 | 1.77 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Livingston vs Dunfermline | 33.8% | 33.9% | 32.3% | 0.87 | 0.84 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Morton vs Arbroath | 52.6% | 26.8% | 20.7% | 1.45 | 0.80 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Partick vs Ayr Utd | 54.0% | 28.3% | 17.6% | 1.35 | 0.64 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT | 45.0% | 26.2% | 28.8% | 1.45 | 1.10 |
| 23 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Arbroath vs Inverness CT | 28.3% | 25.3% | 46.4% | 1.15 | 1.54 |
| 23 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Ayr Utd vs Morton | 44.4% | 25.6% | 30.0% | 1.50 | 1.18 |
| 26 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers | 35.7% | 32.0% | 32.3% | 0.97 | 0.91 |
| 26 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Livingston vs Stenhousemuir | 43.2% | 30.0% | 26.8% | 1.18 | 0.86 |
| 26 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Partick vs Queen's Park | 73.6% | 19.2% | 7.2% | 1.91 | 0.42 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Inverness CT vs Dunfermline | 34.5% | 35.8% | 29.8% | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Morton vs Livingston | 16.9% | 23.3% | 59.7% | 0.80 | 1.74 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd | 25.2% | 28.2% | 46.6% | 0.89 | 1.32 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Raith Rovers vs Arbroath | 73.7% | 18.4% | 7.9% | 2.02 | 0.49 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Stenhousemuir vs Partick | 29.8% | 33.3% | 36.9% | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Ayr Utd vs Arbroath | 61.4% | 24.0% | 14.5% | 1.65 | 0.66 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Dunfermline vs Queen's Park | 72.5% | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.90 | 0.45 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers | 28.2% | 30.8% | 41.0% | 0.87 | 1.11 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Partick vs Livingston | 41.9% | 31.4% | 26.7% | 1.09 | 0.80 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Stenhousemuir vs Morton | 49.4% | 26.4% | 24.2% | 1.47 | 0.94 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Arbroath vs Dunfermline | 19.7% | 32.0% | 48.2% | 0.60 | 1.12 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Livingston vs Inverness CT | 48.8% | 24.4% | 26.8% | 1.65 | 1.16 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Morton vs Partick | 18.9% | 26.9% | 54.2% | 0.73 | 1.44 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir | 25.5% | 29.7% | 44.7% | 0.84 | 1.21 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd | 49.3% | 27.7% | 23.0% | 1.37 | 0.84 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Arbroath vs Livingston | 16.5% | 25.0% | 58.5% | 0.70 | 1.58 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd | 52.6% | 28.5% | 18.9% | 1.34 | 0.68 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Inverness CT vs Partick | 33.5% | 33.5% | 33.0% | 0.88 | 0.87 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Queen's Park vs Morton | 32.2% | 26.4% | 41.4% | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir | 48.7% | 28.9% | 22.3% | 1.29 | 0.77 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT | 39.5% | 24.9% | 35.6% | 1.48 | 1.39 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Livingston vs Queen's Park | 65.4% | 22.2% | 12.4% | 1.78 | 0.62 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Morton vs Dunfermline | 20.6% | 30.0% | 49.4% | 0.68 | 1.23 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Partick vs Raith Rovers | 37.3% | 32.4% | 30.3% | 0.98 | 0.85 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath | 64.4% | 24.0% | 11.6% | 1.62 | 0.52 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Arbroath vs Queen's Park | 45.8% | 29.4% | 24.8% | 1.24 | 0.83 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Ayr Utd vs Stenhousemuir | 35.5% | 30.1% | 34.5% | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Dunfermline vs Partick | 40.8% | 33.6% | 25.6% | 0.99 | 0.71 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Inverness CT vs Morton | 54.2% | 25.2% | 20.6% | 1.58 | 0.87 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Raith Rovers vs Livingston | 36.5% | 29.3% | 34.2% | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Livingston vs Ayr Utd | 43.5% | 28.7% | 27.8% | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Morton vs Raith Rovers | 14.0% | 21.9% | 64.2% | 0.72 | 1.84 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Partick vs Arbroath | 76.2% | 17.9% | 5.9% | 1.98 | 0.37 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Queen's Park vs Inverness CT | 27.6% | 24.6% | 47.9% | 1.17 | 1.62 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline | 30.9% | 35.8% | 33.3% | 0.76 | 0.81 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Arbroath vs Morton | 32.8% | 27.1% | 40.1% | 1.16 | 1.31 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Ayr Utd vs Partick | 25.7% | 30.1% | 44.2% | 0.83 | 1.18 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Dunfermline vs Livingston | 40.3% | 31.2% | 28.5% | 1.08 | 0.86 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir | 43.9% | 31.3% | 24.8% | 1.12 | 0.76 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park | 70.6% | 19.7% | 9.6% | 1.95 | 0.56 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Arbroath vs Raith Rovers | 13.7% | 23.6% | 62.7% | 0.63 | 1.68 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Dunfermline vs Inverness CT | 59.3% | 23.2% | 17.5% | 1.76 | 0.83 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Morton vs Ayr Utd | 27.0% | 27.3% | 45.8% | 0.99 | 1.38 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Queen's Park vs Partick | 17.7% | 27.8% | 54.5% | 0.66 | 1.38 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Stenhousemuir vs Livingston | 28.5% | 30.3% | 41.2% | 0.89 | 1.13 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park | 57.7% | 25.0% | 17.3% | 1.59 | 0.74 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Inverness CT vs Arbroath | 68.5% | 21.9% | 9.6% | 1.75 | 0.48 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Livingston vs Morton | 53.4% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 1.67 | 0.99 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Partick vs Stenhousemuir | 53.2% | 29.7% | 17.1% | 1.27 | 0.58 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline | 38.6% | 33.8% | 27.7% | 0.95 | 0.75 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Arbroath vs Ayr Utd | 25.8% | 29.0% | 45.2% | 0.87 | 1.25 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Inverness CT vs Livingston | 32.4% | 30.7% | 36.8% | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Morton vs Stenhousemuir | 27.3% | 28.7% | 44.0% | 0.93 | 1.26 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Queen's Park vs Dunfermline | 19.3% | 31.0% | 49.7% | 0.62 | 1.18 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Raith Rovers vs Partick | 37.5% | 31.8% | 30.7% | 1.01 | 0.88 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers | 20.3% | 26.0% | 53.7% | 0.82 | 1.51 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Dunfermline vs Morton | 63.0% | 22.6% | 14.4% | 1.78 | 0.71 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Livingston vs Arbroath | 68.8% | 21.0% | 10.3% | 1.85 | 0.55 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Partick vs Inverness CT | 60.9% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 1.77 | 0.78 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park | 61.1% | 25.1% | 13.9% | 1.56 | 0.59 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir | 26.0% | 30.6% | 43.4% | 0.82 | 1.15 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline | 27.3% | 32.7% | 40.1% | 0.78 | 1.01 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Partick vs Morton | 64.5% | 22.2% | 13.3% | 1.80 | 0.67 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Queen's Park vs Livingston | 15.9% | 24.0% | 60.1% | 0.72 | 1.67 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT | 55.4% | 23.1% | 21.6% | 1.80 | 1.03 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Dunfermline vs Arbroath | 75.2% | 18.3% | 6.4% | 1.97 | 0.40 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd | 44.4% | 30.0% | 25.6% | 1.19 | 0.83 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Livingston vs Partick | 32.5% | 31.7% | 35.8% | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Morton vs Queen's Park | 48.5% | 27.2% | 24.3% | 1.40 | 0.91 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers | 24.6% | 30.0% | 45.4% | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Livingston vs Raith Rovers | 26.9% | 28.8% | 44.3% | 0.91 | 1.26 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Morton vs Inverness CT | 29.5% | 23.8% | 46.7% | 1.30 | 1.69 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Partick vs Dunfermline | 42.7% | 35.7% | 21.6% | 0.93 | 0.57 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Queen's Park vs Arbroath | 49.4% | 28.6% | 21.9% | 1.31 | 0.77 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Stenhousemuir vs Ayr Utd | 40.0% | 30.6% | 29.4% | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Arbroath vs Partick | 18.2% | 28.8% | 53.0% | 0.64 | 1.32 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Ayr Utd vs Livingston | 24.0% | 26.9% | 49.1% | 0.91 | 1.43 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Dunfermline vs Stenhousemuir | 51.8% | 29.8% | 18.4% | 1.26 | 0.62 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Inverness CT vs Queen's Park | 65.4% | 23.1% | 11.5% | 1.69 | 0.55 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Raith Rovers vs Morton | 59.7% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 1.83 | 0.88 |
Points-Form Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Home Form | Away Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Morton vs Ayr Utd | 35.4% | 26.8% | 37.7% | 0.78 | 0.98 |
| 06 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline | 45.0% | 25.8% | 29.2% | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Arbroath vs Ayr Utd | 36.0% | 26.9% | 37.1% | 0.79 | 0.98 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Inverness CT vs Livingston | 51.9% | 24.8% | 23.3% | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Morton vs Stenhousemuir | 31.8% | 26.2% | 42.0% | 0.78 | 1.04 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Queen's Park vs Partick | 15.0% | 23.0% | 62.0% | 0.69 | 1.27 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers | 24.4% | 25.0% | 50.6% | 0.90 | 1.28 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Dunfermline vs Arbroath | 78.3% | 18.3% | 3.5% | 1.30 | 0.61 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Livingston vs Morton | 54.0% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 0.99 | 0.91 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Partick vs Inverness CT | 65.8% | 22.2% | 12.0% | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park | 72.2% | 20.5% | 7.2% | 1.03 | 0.56 |
| 20 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd | 59.7% | 23.4% | 16.8% | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir | 32.4% | 26.3% | 41.3% | 0.79 | 1.04 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Dunfermline vs Morton | 69.6% | 21.3% | 9.1% | 1.30 | 0.91 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Queen's Park vs Livingston | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.5% | 0.69 | 1.11 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Raith Rovers vs Partick | 45.0% | 25.8% | 29.2% | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| 04 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Livingston vs Raith Rovers | 29.5% | 25.8% | 44.6% | 0.99 | 1.28 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Morton vs Inverness CT | 32.3% | 26.3% | 41.4% | 0.78 | 1.03 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Partick vs Dunfermline | 52.5% | 24.7% | 22.8% | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Queen's Park vs Arbroath | 54.6% | 24.3% | 21.1% | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Stenhousemuir vs Ayr Utd | 52.5% | 24.7% | 22.8% | 1.03 | 0.98 |
| 11 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Arbroath vs Partick | 19.1% | 24.0% | 56.9% | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Ayr Utd vs Livingston | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.4% | 0.90 | 1.11 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Dunfermline vs Stenhousemuir | 64.3% | 22.5% | 13.1% | 1.30 | 1.04 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Inverness CT vs Queen's Park | 75.8% | 19.3% | 4.9% | 1.15 | 0.56 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Raith Rovers vs Morton | 66.0% | 22.2% | 11.8% | 1.21 | 0.91 |
| 18 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Queen's Park vs Raith Rovers | 14.5% | 22.9% | 62.6% | 0.69 | 1.28 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Livingston vs Dunfermline | 30.3% | 26.0% | 43.8% | 0.99 | 1.27 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Morton vs Arbroath | 59.5% | 23.5% | 17.0% | 0.78 | 0.61 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Partick vs Ayr Utd | 68.0% | 21.7% | 10.3% | 1.33 | 0.98 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| 23 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Arbroath vs Inverness CT | 32.8% | 26.4% | 40.8% | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| 23 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Ayr Utd vs Morton | 48.2% | 25.3% | 26.4% | 0.90 | 0.91 |
| 26 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers | 50.1% | 25.0% | 24.8% | 1.30 | 1.28 |
| 26 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Livingston vs Stenhousemuir | 45.8% | 25.7% | 28.5% | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| 26 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Partick vs Queen's Park | 79.7% | 17.6% | 2.8% | 1.33 | 0.56 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Inverness CT vs Dunfermline | 40.6% | 26.4% | 33.0% | 1.15 | 1.27 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Morton vs Livingston | 27.6% | 25.5% | 46.9% | 0.78 | 1.11 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd | 30.4% | 26.0% | 43.6% | 0.69 | 0.98 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Raith Rovers vs Arbroath | 76.3% | 19.1% | 4.6% | 1.21 | 0.61 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Stenhousemuir vs Partick | 32.6% | 26.4% | 41.0% | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Ayr Utd vs Arbroath | 65.6% | 22.3% | 12.1% | 0.90 | 0.61 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Dunfermline vs Queen's Park | 79.2% | 17.8% | 3.0% | 1.30 | 0.56 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers | 39.8% | 26.5% | 33.7% | 1.15 | 1.28 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Partick vs Livingston | 62.0% | 23.0% | 15.0% | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Stenhousemuir vs Morton | 56.4% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Arbroath vs Dunfermline | 19.2% | 24.0% | 56.9% | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Livingston vs Inverness CT | 46.3% | 25.6% | 28.1% | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Morton vs Partick | 18.7% | 23.9% | 57.4% | 0.78 | 1.27 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir | 26.8% | 25.4% | 47.8% | 0.69 | 1.04 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd | 63.0% | 22.8% | 14.2% | 1.21 | 0.98 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Arbroath vs Livingston | 28.1% | 25.6% | 46.3% | 0.79 | 1.11 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd | 67.0% | 21.9% | 11.0% | 1.30 | 0.98 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Inverness CT vs Partick | 40.6% | 26.4% | 33.0% | 1.15 | 1.27 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Queen's Park vs Morton | 34.2% | 26.6% | 39.1% | 0.69 | 0.91 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir | 59.9% | 23.4% | 16.7% | 1.21 | 1.04 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT | 40.1% | 26.5% | 33.4% | 0.90 | 1.03 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Livingston vs Queen's Park | 70.9% | 20.9% | 8.2% | 0.99 | 0.56 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Morton vs Dunfermline | 18.7% | 23.9% | 57.4% | 0.78 | 1.27 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Partick vs Raith Rovers | 51.7% | 24.8% | 23.5% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath | 70.7% | 21.0% | 8.3% | 1.03 | 0.61 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Arbroath vs Queen's Park | 62.3% | 23.0% | 14.7% | 0.79 | 0.56 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Ayr Utd vs Stenhousemuir | 39.6% | 26.6% | 33.8% | 0.90 | 1.04 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Dunfermline vs Partick | 50.9% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 1.30 | 1.27 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Inverness CT vs Morton | 63.1% | 22.8% | 14.1% | 1.15 | 0.91 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Raith Rovers vs Livingston | 55.8% | 24.1% | 20.0% | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Livingston vs Ayr Utd | 49.9% | 25.1% | 25.0% | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Morton vs Raith Rovers | 18.1% | 23.7% | 58.1% | 0.78 | 1.28 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Partick vs Arbroath | 78.8% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 1.33 | 0.61 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Queen's Park vs Inverness CT | 27.3% | 25.5% | 47.3% | 0.69 | 1.03 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 27 | Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline | 32.7% | 26.4% | 41.0% | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Arbroath vs Morton | 40.4% | 26.4% | 33.1% | 0.79 | 0.91 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Ayr Utd vs Partick | 25.1% | 25.1% | 49.8% | 0.90 | 1.27 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Dunfermline vs Livingston | 60.8% | 23.3% | 16.0% | 1.30 | 1.11 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir | 56.3% | 24.1% | 19.6% | 1.15 | 1.04 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 28 | Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park | 77.3% | 18.7% | 4.0% | 1.21 | 0.56 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Arbroath vs Raith Rovers | 18.6% | 23.8% | 57.6% | 0.79 | 1.28 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Dunfermline vs Inverness CT | 64.7% | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.30 | 1.03 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Morton vs Ayr Utd | 35.4% | 26.8% | 37.7% | 0.78 | 0.98 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Queen's Park vs Partick | 15.0% | 23.0% | 62.0% | 0.69 | 1.27 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 29 | Stenhousemuir vs Livingston | 43.7% | 26.0% | 30.4% | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park | 67.5% | 21.8% | 10.7% | 0.90 | 0.56 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Inverness CT vs Arbroath | 74.6% | 19.8% | 5.6% | 1.15 | 0.61 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Livingston vs Morton | 54.0% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 0.99 | 0.91 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Partick vs Stenhousemuir | 65.4% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 1.33 | 1.04 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 30 | Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline | 45.0% | 25.8% | 29.2% | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Arbroath vs Ayr Utd | 36.0% | 26.9% | 37.1% | 0.79 | 0.98 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Inverness CT vs Livingston | 51.9% | 24.8% | 23.3% | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Morton vs Stenhousemuir | 31.8% | 26.2% | 42.0% | 0.78 | 1.04 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Queen's Park vs Dunfermline | 15.0% | 23.0% | 62.0% | 0.69 | 1.27 |
| 27 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 31 | Raith Rovers vs Partick | 45.0% | 25.8% | 29.2% | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers | 24.4% | 25.0% | 50.6% | 0.90 | 1.28 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Dunfermline vs Morton | 69.6% | 21.3% | 9.1% | 1.30 | 0.91 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Livingston vs Arbroath | 69.3% | 21.4% | 9.3% | 0.99 | 0.61 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Partick vs Inverness CT | 65.8% | 22.2% | 12.0% | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 32 | Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park | 72.2% | 20.5% | 7.2% | 1.03 | 0.56 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir | 32.4% | 26.3% | 41.3% | 0.79 | 1.04 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline | 25.1% | 25.1% | 49.8% | 0.90 | 1.27 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Partick vs Morton | 70.5% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Queen's Park vs Livingston | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.5% | 0.69 | 1.11 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 33 | Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT | 60.3% | 23.3% | 16.4% | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Dunfermline vs Arbroath | 78.3% | 18.3% | 3.5% | 1.30 | 0.61 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd | 59.7% | 23.4% | 16.8% | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Livingston vs Partick | 30.3% | 26.0% | 43.8% | 0.99 | 1.27 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Morton vs Queen's Park | 61.8% | 23.1% | 15.1% | 0.78 | 0.56 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 34 | Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers | 31.9% | 26.2% | 41.8% | 1.03 | 1.28 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Livingston vs Raith Rovers | 29.5% | 25.8% | 44.6% | 0.99 | 1.28 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Morton vs Inverness CT | 32.3% | 26.3% | 41.4% | 0.78 | 1.03 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Partick vs Dunfermline | 52.5% | 24.7% | 22.8% | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Queen's Park vs Arbroath | 54.6% | 24.3% | 21.1% | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 35 | Stenhousemuir vs Ayr Utd | 52.5% | 24.7% | 22.8% | 1.03 | 0.98 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Arbroath vs Partick | 19.1% | 24.0% | 56.9% | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Ayr Utd vs Livingston | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.4% | 0.90 | 1.11 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Dunfermline vs Stenhousemuir | 64.3% | 22.5% | 13.1% | 1.30 | 1.04 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Inverness CT vs Queen's Park | 75.8% | 19.3% | 4.9% | 1.15 | 0.56 |
| 30 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 36 | Raith Rovers vs Morton | 66.0% | 22.2% | 11.8% | 1.21 | 0.91 |