66.1% average title probability
Bulgaria First League race map
Bulgaria First League Season Predictor 2026-2027
A standalone race page built off the site’s simulation engine. It surfaces title pressure, top 4 probability, relegation danger, model disagreement and the remaining fixtures carrying the most heat.
19.1% average title probability
57.6% average relegation risk
Gap score 23.5 between the two models
Race Storylines
Quick reads on how open the biggest season battles still are.
Teams with at least a 10% average title chance across the goal and form models.
These sides sit in the messy middle where a strong finish still materially changes the season outcome.
Average relegation probability between 15% and 85%, which is usually where the stress lives.
Title Race
The clubs with the strongest path to first place right now.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Exp Pts | Avg Title | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 1 | 32 | 60.9 | 66.1% | 64.3% | 67.8% |
| CSKA Sofia | 2 | 31 | 56.2 | 19.1% | 22.2% | 15.9% |
| Ludogorets | 3 | 29 | 55.6 | 13.5% | 11.6% | 15.3% |
| CSKA 1948 | 4 | 28 | 50.1 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 22 | 44.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arda Kardzhali | 6 | 18 | 37.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Top 4 Battle
Who still has a realistic route into the high-value positions.
| Team | Pos | Avg Finish | Avg Top 4 | Avg Title | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 1 | 1.0 | 99.9% | 66.1% | +1.2 |
| CSKA Sofia | 2 | 2.5 | 98.7% | 19.1% | +0.2 |
| Ludogorets | 3 | 2.5 | 97.9% | 13.5% | +2.5 |
| CSKA 1948 | 4 | 4.0 | 83.6% | 1.5% | +0.9 |
| Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 5.0 | 18.4% | 0.0% | +4.7 |
| Arda Kardzhali | 6 | 6.0 | 1.5% | 0.0% | -0.7 |
| Slavia Sofia | 7 | 7.0 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -3.7 |
| Spartak Varna | 8 | 7.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.6 |
Relegation Watch
The most exposed clubs if the rest of the season follows the current signal.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Avg Finish | Avg Bottom Finish | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | 14 | 8 | 14.0 | 57.6% | 54.1% | 61.1% |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 13 | 9 | 14.0 | 50.6% | 44.2% | 57.0% |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 12 | 9 | 12.5 | 32.3% | 33.5% | 31.1% |
| Cherno More Varna | 11 | 9 | 11.0 | 22.4% | 23.4% | 21.4% |
| Botev Vratsa | 10 | 10 | 10.0 | 17.6% | 23.5% | 11.6% |
| Dunav Ruse | 9 | 11 | 8.5 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
Model Disagreement
The sides where underlying goal strength and current points-form tell the most different story.
| Team | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 5 | 41.6 | 46.3 | 23.5 |
| Botev Vratsa | 11 | 9 | 24.9 | 25.9 | 20.0 |
| Slavia Sofia | 7 | 7 | 31.5 | 27.8 | 18.5 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 14 | 22.1 | 20.4 | 12.8 |
| Ludogorets | 3 | 2 | 54.3 | 56.8 | 12.5 |
| CSKA 1948 | 4 | 4 | 49.6 | 50.5 | 10.2 |
High-Leverage Fixtures
The race-heat score highlights the remaining fixtures most likely to shape the season. It combines each club’s biggest live stake, such as the title race, top 4 push or relegation danger, with how open the match still looks in the two models. Higher scores point to games where the result could change the league picture more sharply than an ordinary fixture.
| Match | Date | Race Heat | Home | Draw | Away | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia | 17 Apr 2027 | 222.9 | 45.9% | 26.4% | 27.8% | CSKA Sofia: Top 4 98.7% | Levski Sofia: Top 4 99.9% |
| Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia | 20 Mar 2027 | 222.8 | 44.4% | 27.3% | 28.3% | Ludogorets: Top 4 97.9% | Levski Sofia: Top 4 99.9% |
| Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia | 10 Apr 2027 | 219.3 | 49.5% | 25.9% | 24.6% | Ludogorets: Top 4 97.9% | CSKA Sofia: Top 4 98.7% |
| Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia | 08 Nov 2026 | 218.3 | 56.2% | 25.0% | 18.9% | Levski Sofia: Top 4 99.9% | CSKA Sofia: Top 4 98.7% |
| Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets | 03 Dec 2026 | 216.6 | 58.2% | 23.9% | 17.9% | Levski Sofia: Top 4 99.9% | Ludogorets: Top 4 97.9% |
| CSKA 1948 vs Levski Sofia | 06 Mar 2027 | 209.1 | 43.2% | 25.6% | 31.3% | CSKA 1948: Top 4 83.6% | Levski Sofia: Top 4 99.9% |
| CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets | 17 Apr 2027 | 203.8 | 50.5% | 23.7% | 25.9% | CSKA 1948: Top 4 83.6% | Ludogorets: Top 4 97.9% |
| Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 | 07 Nov 2026 | 199.7 | 59.5% | 23.2% | 17.3% | Ludogorets: Top 4 97.9% | CSKA 1948: Top 4 83.6% |
Full Simulation Tables
The full two-model output, including projected points and fixture-level win probabilities.
This tab shows two Monte Carlo models for First League. The first is the goal-strength model, which estimates each match from how strongly teams have scored and conceded goals so far. The second is a points-form model built from points per game, home and away splits, and recent form, so it leans more on results momentum than raw goal output. Both simulate the remaining fixture list 50,000 times.
Simulations
50,000
Remaining Fixtures
94
Goal Model Base
1.51 / 1.18
Form Model Base
1.38 PPG
Model Comparison
| # | Team | Current Pts | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Title | Form Title | Goal Top 4 | Form Top 4 | Goal Bottom Finish (13-14) | Form Bottom Finish (13-14) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 32 | 60.3 | 61.5 | 1 | 1 | 64.3% | 67.8% | 99.9% | 99.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 31 | 56.1 | 56.3 | 2 | 3 | 22.2% | 15.9% | 99.3% | 98.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 29 | 54.3 | 56.8 | 3 | 2 | 11.6% | 15.3% | 97.9% | 97.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 28 | 49.6 | 50.5 | 4 | 4 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 88.7% | 78.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 22 | 41.6 | 46.3 | 5 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 18 | 37.3 | 36.6 | 6 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 13 | 31.5 | 27.8 | 7 | 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 3.9% |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 13 | 27.4 | 28.0 | 8 | 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| 9 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 26.8 | 25.7 | 8 | 9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 24.9 | 25.9 | 11 | 9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.5% | 11.6% |
| 11 | Cherno More Varna | 9 | 24.7 | 23.8 | 11 | 11 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.4% | 21.4% |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 9 | 23.3 | 22.6 | 13 | 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.5% | 31.1% |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 9 | 22.1 | 20.4 | 14 | 14 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 44.2% | 57.0% |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 8 | 21.3 | 20.1 | 14 | 14 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 54.1% | 61.1% |
Goal-Strength Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Proj G H | Proj G A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets | 56.2% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 1.66 | 0.86 |
| 06 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 29.1% | 23.7% | 47.2% | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| 06 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse | 53.0% | 22.4% | 24.7% | 1.90 | 1.23 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 41.5% | 34.4% | 24.1% | 0.97 | 0.66 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna | 45.6% | 30.5% | 23.9% | 1.17 | 0.76 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 | 54.0% | 24.0% | 22.0% | 1.70 | 0.99 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali | 40.7% | 27.3% | 32.0% | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia | 50.9% | 26.8% | 22.3% | 1.44 | 0.86 |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa | 48.5% | 22.7% | 28.8% | 1.84 | 1.38 |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia | 59.6% | 22.9% | 17.4% | 1.79 | 0.85 |
| 20 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 41.3% | 29.7% | 29.0% | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali | 41.4% | 29.9% | 28.7% | 1.16 | 0.91 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna | 45.4% | 28.0% | 26.6% | 1.32 | 0.94 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Botev Vratsa vs CSKA 1948 | 21.5% | 26.2% | 52.4% | 0.86 | 1.50 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 75.8% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 2.39 | 0.66 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia | 26.6% | 25.7% | 47.7% | 1.06 | 1.52 |
| 23 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse | 70.0% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 2.30 | 0.85 |
| 27 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia | 21.5% | 29.3% | 49.1% | 0.73 | 1.27 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna | 42.1% | 28.5% | 29.4% | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets | 17.4% | 25.0% | 57.6% | 0.75 | 1.59 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv | 33.0% | 21.5% | 45.5% | 1.68 | 1.99 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 | 36.2% | 25.2% | 38.6% | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia | 10.7% | 18.5% | 70.8% | 0.68 | 2.13 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia | 16.2% | 22.8% | 61.1% | 0.79 | 1.79 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse | 52.3% | 22.6% | 25.0% | 1.86 | 1.22 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 71.6% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.68 | 1.06 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia | 79.0% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 2.56 | 0.63 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia | 13.8% | 26.5% | 59.7% | 0.55 | 1.46 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna | 74.7% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 2.26 | 0.62 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa | 46.2% | 28.6% | 25.2% | 1.29 | 0.87 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv | 32.4% | 24.7% | 42.9% | 1.32 | 1.56 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets | 30.4% | 25.2% | 44.4% | 1.22 | 1.53 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Botev Vratsa vs CSKA Sofia | 15.1% | 25.0% | 59.9% | 0.65 | 1.58 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 | 25.0% | 22.2% | 52.8% | 1.26 | 1.92 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 46.1% | 30.6% | 23.4% | 1.18 | 0.75 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia | 56.8% | 29.6% | 13.6% | 1.27 | 0.47 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali | 33.5% | 23.8% | 42.7% | 1.44 | 1.65 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna | 40.4% | 24.2% | 35.4% | 1.56 | 1.45 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 59.8% | 25.3% | 14.9% | 1.55 | 0.63 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa | 60.8% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 2.05 | 1.03 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | CSKA 1948 vs Septemvri Sofia | 78.9% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 2.77 | 0.78 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 72.5% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 2.47 | 0.86 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Dunav Ruse vs Cherno More Varna | 44.3% | 26.9% | 28.8% | 1.39 | 1.06 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets | 22.2% | 28.9% | 48.9% | 0.77 | 1.29 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia | 16.1% | 25.9% | 58.0% | 0.66 | 1.52 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali | 35.6% | 28.8% | 35.6% | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia | 17.1% | 20.8% | 62.1% | 0.96 | 2.02 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv | 74.0% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 2.53 | 0.84 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 | 21.5% | 26.8% | 51.7% | 0.83 | 1.45 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse | 30.5% | 22.3% | 47.2% | 1.48 | 1.88 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna | 78.0% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 2.57 | 0.68 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia | 21.2% | 30.3% | 48.6% | 0.69 | 1.21 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali | 55.3% | 22.7% | 22.0% | 1.84 | 1.08 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia | 40.5% | 30.6% | 28.9% | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 50.6% | 27.1% | 22.3% | 1.42 | 0.84 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | CSKA 1948 vs Levski Sofia | 39.4% | 25.6% | 35.1% | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna | 82.3% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 2.98 | 0.73 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 67.9% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 2.13 | 0.81 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Slavia Sofia vs Dunav Ruse | 39.4% | 28.7% | 31.8% | 1.19 | 1.04 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia | 26.3% | 25.9% | 47.9% | 1.04 | 1.50 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Dunav Ruse vs CSKA 1948 | 23.3% | 24.1% | 52.7% | 1.04 | 1.70 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa | 82.9% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 2.78 | 0.58 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv | 27.8% | 25.7% | 46.4% | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Cherno More Varna | 39.2% | 25.1% | 35.7% | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets | 13.8% | 18.6% | 67.6% | 0.90 | 2.23 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia | 26.2% | 36.0% | 37.7% | 0.67 | 0.86 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia | 60.3% | 22.6% | 17.2% | 1.82 | 0.85 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Botev Vratsa vs Dunav Ruse | 33.3% | 27.3% | 39.3% | 1.16 | 1.28 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali | 42.9% | 23.7% | 33.4% | 1.66 | 1.44 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | CSKA 1948 vs Slavia Sofia | 53.2% | 27.1% | 19.7% | 1.43 | 0.75 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 77.8% | 15.9% | 6.3% | 2.22 | 0.47 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Spartak Varna | 41.3% | 23.5% | 35.3% | 1.66 | 1.52 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia | 38.3% | 29.6% | 32.0% | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets | 30.0% | 25.4% | 44.6% | 1.20 | 1.52 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 | 58.4% | 21.6% | 20.0% | 1.97 | 1.06 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia | 44.8% | 27.4% | 27.8% | 1.35 | 1.01 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna | 81.3% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 2.53 | 0.51 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 32.1% | 28.9% | 39.0% | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv | 34.2% | 27.4% | 38.4% | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa | 45.7% | 26.3% | 28.0% | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 | 36.7% | 25.0% | 38.3% | 1.40 | 1.44 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 32.2% | 28.3% | 39.4% | 1.07 | 1.22 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali | 78.7% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 2.50 | 0.61 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia | 42.1% | 27.8% | 30.1% | 1.29 | 1.05 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More Varna | 38.3% | 25.8% | 35.8% | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 45.9% | 34.8% | 19.4% | 1.00 | 0.54 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse | 38.3% | 26.2% | 35.5% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna | 62.6% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 2.08 | 0.98 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia | 27.6% | 30.9% | 41.4% | 0.84 | 1.11 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets | 48.7% | 22.6% | 28.8% | 1.86 | 1.39 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia | 41.8% | 27.6% | 30.6% | 1.31 | 1.08 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv | 30.4% | 23.2% | 46.4% | 1.39 | 1.76 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa | 39.9% | 28.6% | 31.4% | 1.21 | 1.04 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia | 39.9% | 25.6% | 34.5% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
Points-Form Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Home Form | Away Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets | 60.2% | 23.4% | 16.4% | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| 06 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 36.2% | 27.0% | 36.8% | 0.62 | 0.81 |
| 06 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse | 73.1% | 20.3% | 6.6% | 1.34 | 0.84 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 61.8% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 0.81 | 0.60 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna | 52.6% | 24.7% | 22.7% | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 | 65.0% | 22.4% | 12.6% | 1.54 | 1.27 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali | 42.7% | 26.1% | 31.2% | 0.80 | 0.89 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia | 61.5% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 1.63 | 1.42 |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa | 52.2% | 24.7% | 23.1% | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia | 68.1% | 21.7% | 10.2% | 0.99 | 0.64 |
| 20 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 50.9% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali | 36.5% | 27.0% | 36.5% | 0.71 | 0.89 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna | 58.0% | 23.8% | 18.3% | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Botev Vratsa vs CSKA 1948 | 20.6% | 24.2% | 55.2% | 0.81 | 1.27 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 80.7% | 17.0% | 2.3% | 1.63 | 0.81 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia | 43.3% | 26.0% | 30.7% | 1.34 | 1.42 |
| 23 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Ludogorets vs Dunav Ruse | 78.5% | 18.2% | 3.4% | 1.54 | 0.84 |
| 27 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia | 37.7% | 26.8% | 35.4% | 0.66 | 0.82 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna | 45.6% | 25.7% | 28.7% | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets | 12.8% | 22.5% | 64.7% | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv | 25.0% | 25.1% | 49.9% | 0.82 | 1.19 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 | 30.8% | 26.1% | 43.1% | 0.99 | 1.27 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia | 5.7% | 19.8% | 74.4% | 0.62 | 1.52 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia | 13.0% | 22.5% | 64.4% | 0.79 | 1.42 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse | 58.3% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 78.1% | 18.4% | 3.6% | 1.49 | 0.81 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia | 82.0% | 16.2% | 1.8% | 1.54 | 0.64 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia | 7.9% | 20.9% | 71.2% | 0.73 | 1.52 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna | 81.9% | 16.3% | 1.8% | 1.54 | 0.65 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa | 44.7% | 25.8% | 29.5% | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv | 23.7% | 24.8% | 51.5% | 0.80 | 1.19 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets | 41.6% | 26.3% | 32.1% | 1.34 | 1.44 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Botev Vratsa vs CSKA Sofia | 13.7% | 22.7% | 63.6% | 0.81 | 1.42 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 | 21.1% | 24.3% | 54.6% | 0.82 | 1.27 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 60.8% | 23.2% | 15.9% | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia | 80.5% | 17.1% | 2.4% | 1.63 | 0.82 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali | 33.5% | 26.5% | 40.0% | 0.66 | 0.89 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna | 38.4% | 26.7% | 34.8% | 0.62 | 0.78 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 69.8% | 21.2% | 8.9% | 0.99 | 0.60 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa | 75.2% | 19.6% | 5.3% | 1.34 | 0.77 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | CSKA 1948 vs Septemvri Sofia | 81.3% | 16.7% | 2.0% | 1.49 | 0.64 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 79.0% | 17.9% | 3.1% | 1.54 | 0.81 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Dunav Ruse vs Cherno More Varna | 57.7% | 23.8% | 18.5% | 0.79 | 0.65 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets | 9.5% | 21.4% | 69.1% | 0.71 | 1.44 |
| 20 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia | 9.7% | 21.5% | 68.7% | 0.80 | 1.52 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali | 43.7% | 26.0% | 30.4% | 0.81 | 0.89 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia | 14.1% | 22.8% | 63.1% | 0.82 | 1.42 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv | 71.2% | 20.9% | 7.9% | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 | 16.7% | 23.4% | 59.9% | 0.73 | 1.27 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse | 36.2% | 27.0% | 36.8% | 0.66 | 0.84 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna | 79.8% | 17.5% | 2.7% | 1.54 | 0.78 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia | 35.5% | 26.8% | 37.6% | 0.62 | 0.82 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali | 71.7% | 20.7% | 7.6% | 1.34 | 0.89 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia | 59.4% | 23.5% | 17.1% | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 62.3% | 23.0% | 14.8% | 0.82 | 0.60 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | CSKA 1948 vs Levski Sofia | 47.0% | 25.5% | 27.5% | 1.49 | 1.52 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna | 79.6% | 17.6% | 2.8% | 1.54 | 0.78 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 79.1% | 17.8% | 3.0% | 1.54 | 0.81 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Slavia Sofia vs Dunav Ruse | 39.6% | 26.6% | 33.8% | 0.71 | 0.84 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia | 22.1% | 24.5% | 53.4% | 0.99 | 1.42 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Dunav Ruse vs CSKA 1948 | 19.7% | 24.1% | 56.3% | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa | 81.3% | 16.6% | 2.0% | 1.63 | 0.77 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv | 20.1% | 24.2% | 55.7% | 0.73 | 1.19 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Cherno More Varna | 49.4% | 25.1% | 25.4% | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets | 7.4% | 20.6% | 72.0% | 0.62 | 1.44 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia | 47.3% | 25.5% | 27.2% | 0.80 | 0.82 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia | 78.3% | 18.2% | 3.4% | 1.34 | 0.64 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Botev Vratsa vs Dunav Ruse | 46.8% | 25.5% | 27.7% | 0.81 | 0.84 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali | 44.3% | 25.9% | 29.8% | 0.82 | 0.89 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | CSKA 1948 vs Slavia Sofia | 77.8% | 18.5% | 3.7% | 1.49 | 0.82 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 82.5% | 16.0% | 1.5% | 1.54 | 0.60 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Spartak Varna | 40.8% | 26.4% | 32.8% | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 23 | Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia | 50.5% | 25.0% | 24.5% | 1.54 | 1.52 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets | 20.8% | 24.3% | 54.9% | 0.99 | 1.44 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 | 64.6% | 22.5% | 12.9% | 1.54 | 1.27 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia | 58.4% | 23.7% | 17.9% | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna | 82.7% | 16.0% | 1.3% | 1.63 | 0.65 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 43.4% | 26.0% | 30.6% | 0.73 | 0.81 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv | 19.1% | 23.9% | 56.9% | 0.71 | 1.19 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 24 | Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa | 50.6% | 25.0% | 24.4% | 0.80 | 0.77 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 | 53.6% | 24.5% | 21.9% | 1.34 | 1.27 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali | 79.2% | 17.8% | 3.0% | 1.63 | 0.89 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia | 56.9% | 23.9% | 19.1% | 1.54 | 1.42 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More Varna | 47.2% | 25.5% | 27.4% | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 56.1% | 24.1% | 19.8% | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 25 | Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse | 45.8% | 25.7% | 28.5% | 0.80 | 0.84 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna | 61.8% | 23.1% | 15.1% | 0.99 | 0.78 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia | 48.9% | 25.2% | 25.9% | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets | 52.3% | 24.7% | 23.0% | 1.49 | 1.44 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia | 50.0% | 25.1% | 24.9% | 1.54 | 1.52 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Dunav Ruse vs Botev Plovdiv | 23.5% | 24.8% | 51.7% | 0.79 | 1.19 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa | 46.1% | 25.6% | 28.3% | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 26 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia | 50.2% | 25.0% | 24.8% | 0.66 | 0.64 |